Livingston vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CLY
0 - 1
LIV
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
QOS
3 - 3
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 0
STJ
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
4 - 2
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
AIR
4 - 4
LIV
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ROS
1 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
CLY
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 0
AIR
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
QOS
1 - 1
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |