Livingston vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
LIV
2 - 1
AIR
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DUM
1 - 1
LIV
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LIV
3 - 3
ALL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
ROS
2 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
QUE
3 - 2
LIV
28%
24%
49%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
QOS
4 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PET
1 - 2
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
QUE
2 - 3
FOR
40%
25%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |