Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 1-1
Livingston vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 2
LIV
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
FCV
1 - 1
LIV
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 1
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
LIV
3 - 2
MHE
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FCV
2 - 0
SIO
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCV
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
FCV
1 - 1
LIV
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
FCV
1 - 2
LAU
27%
25%
49%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
WIN
1 - 3
FCV
52%
22%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |