Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
LIV
12%
18%
70%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MHE
2 - 1
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
1 - 5
LIV
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
LIV
20%
21%
59%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRX
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 3
DUN
24%
24%
53%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 1
STM
27%
24%
50%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
DUN
26%
23%
51%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |