Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
16%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
COV
0 - 2
LIV
18%
20%
63%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
LIV
12%
18%
70%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
MHE
2 - 1
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
COV
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 3
DUN
24%
24%
53%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
DUN
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |