Livingston vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HOM
0 - 0
LIV
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 3
MHE
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
DUN
42%
25%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
0 - 0
LIV
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
0 - 2
KIL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
HIB
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CEL
3 - 0
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
3 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |