Livingston vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
LIV
7 - 1
CLY
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 2
FOR
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
CLY
1 - 1
LIV
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LIV
3 - 0
STR
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 0
ALB
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 2
DUN
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 1
AIR
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
ICT
1 - 1
DUN
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
DUN
3 - 1
AYR
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |