Livingston vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
HOM
3 - 1
LIV
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
4 - 0
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
PAR
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAL
1 - 2
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUM
3 - 3
HAM
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 2
DUN
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
LIV
3 - 2
DUM
61%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
DUM
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |