Livingston vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 1
STM
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
LIV
4 - 1
AIR
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
STE
0 - 4
LIV
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
ROS
1 - 1
LIV
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
0 - 2
MHE
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
AYR
2 - 0
DUN
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AYR
1 - 1
STR
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
3 - 2
AYR
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ICT
1 - 1
AYR
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |