Livingston vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
12º
12º
35
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
CEL
12%
20%
68%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HIB
3 - 0
LIV
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 2
LIV
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
LIV
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 3
MHE
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 1
ROS
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MHE
0 - 1
ABE
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
ABE
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STM
2 - 1
ABE
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |