Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Liverpool vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
LIV
3 - 0
WHU
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1983 |
LIV
5 - 1
STO
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
WLO
2 - 0
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
MUD
1 - 1
LIV
39%
28%
34%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
LIV
1 - 2
BHA
82%
14%
5%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1983 |
STA
2 - 3
WLO
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1983 |
WLO
2 - 0
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1982 |
ZAG
1 - 1
WLO
30%
29%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1982 |
WLO
2 - 1
GWA
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1982 |
CRA
2 - 2
WLO
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |