Liverpool vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 1
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
0 - 0
FCP
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 0
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LIV
4 - 1
WHU
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FCP
0 - 5
LIV
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 0
WAT
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
WBA
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
1 - 0
EVE
26%
25%
50%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
WHU
2 - 0
WAT
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
WAT
4 - 1
CHL
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |