Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
Liverpool vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
62%
22%
15%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
2 - 0
WHU
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
VST
1 - 0
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
LIV
0 - 0
WOL
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
DER
4 - 0
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
VST
1 - 0
SLB
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
22%
26%
53%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
VST
1 - 0
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
VST
5 - 0
FCP
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
FCB
2 - 0
VST
16%
26%
58%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |