Champions League Last 16
Global 3-1
Liverpool vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
LEI
0 - 1
LIV
39%
29%
32%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
LEE
1 - 1
LIV
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
TRA
1 - 0
LIV
28%
31%
41%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
LIV
3 - 1
EVE
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
TRA
4 - 0
BUR
64%
23%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
TRA
1 - 0
LIV
28%
31%
41%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
TRA
2 - 1
BJK
62%
24%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
ADA
0 - 2
TRA
50%
29%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
TRA
3 - 2
IAA
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |