Qualif. Champions Tercera fase Final
Global 5-0
Liverpool vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
19%
27%
54%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
33%
28%
39%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
TFC
0 - 1
LIV
22%
28%
50%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 2
LIV
23%
28%
48%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 1
LIV
51%
24%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 3
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
TFC
0 - 1
LIV
22%
28%
50%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 0
LYO
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
VAL
3 - 1
TFC
34%
29%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |