EFL Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BOU
0 - 2
LIV
13%
18%
70%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
PSV
3 - 2
LIV
9%
14%
77%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LIV
4 - 1
IPS
84%
12%
4%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
LIV
2 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 2
LIV
12%
17%
70%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
BRE
0 - 2
TOT
31%
23%
46%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
TOT
3 - 0
ELF
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TOT
1 - 2
LEI
69%
18%
13%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
HOF
2 - 3
TOT
33%
23%
44%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
EVE
3 - 2
TOT
21%
23%
57%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |