Liverpool vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1976 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
LIV
4 - 0
STO
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
WHU
2 - 0
LIV
34%
29%
37%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1976 |
ASV
5 - 1
LIV
40%
29%
32%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
LIV
3 - 1
QPR
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 1
LEE
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
SUN
0 - 1
NOR
47%
27%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
BIR
2 - 0
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
DER
1 - 0
SUN
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |