Liverpool vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
IPS
0 - 1
LIV
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1960 |
ROT
2 - 2
LIV
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
LIV
3 - 0
ROT
70%
16%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
LIV
4 - 0
BRO
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
LEY
2 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1960 |
SUN
1 - 1
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1960 |
OPA
1 - 2
SUN
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1960 |
HUL
0 - 0
SUN
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1960 |
SUN
2 - 0
OPA
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
SUN
1 - 0
SCU
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |