Liverpool vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
ASV
4 - 0
LIV
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
LIV
0 - 0
BOL
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
NEW
1 - 2
LIV
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1953 |
LIV
3 - 0
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
MID
2 - 3
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1953 |
SUN
1 - 1
MID
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
WBA
1 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
OPA
5 - 2
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
41%
23%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
CHL
3 - 2
SUN
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |