Liverpool vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 2
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARS
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
ARS
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 3
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 2
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1921 |
SUN
3 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1921 |
BUR
2 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1921 |
PNE
1 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |