Liverpool vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
NTT
1 - 4
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
LIV
3 - 1
BBU
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1909 |
BOL
1 - 2
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1909 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1909 |
SUN
0 - 2
NEW
56%
22%
23%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1909 |
NOT
1 - 1
SUN
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 1
PNE
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1909 |
SUN
3 - 1
TOT
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1909 |
SUN
2 - 1
PNE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |