Liverpool vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 4
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
LIV
3 - 4
BIR
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
BOL
0 - 4
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1907 |
SHE
0 - 0
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
LIV
2 - 0
BBU
75%
14%
10%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 0
ASV
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1907 |
BCF
2 - 1
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1907 |
SUN
4 - 1
PNE
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1907 |
MAC
0 - 0
SUN
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1907 |
ASV
1 - 0
SUN
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |