FA Cup 1/32
Global 1-0
Liverpool vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1988 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
21%
29%
50%
|
91 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
LIV
4 - 0
COV
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
LIV
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
OXF
0 - 3
LIV
22%
27%
51%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
LIV
1 - 0
SHW
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1988 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
21%
29%
50%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1988 |
BRA
1 - 4
STO
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1988 |
STO
1 - 2
IPS
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
STO
1 - 3
MAC
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
HUR
0 - 3
STO
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |