Liverpool vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LIV
2 - 3
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
LIV
1 - 3
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PNE
3 - 3
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
WOL
1 - 2
LIV
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
STO
1 - 1
BPO
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1947 |
BPO
1 - 2
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
STO
2 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
DER
1 - 1
STO
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
STO
1 - 1
HUR
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |