Liverpool vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
35%
30%
35%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
LIV
1 - 1
HUR
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
HUR
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
LIV
0 - 0
BIR
71%
17%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
LIV
35%
30%
35%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 1
STO
49%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
BIR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |