Champions League Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 7-6
Liverpool vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
WBA
2 - 2
LIV
9%
16%
75%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 0
BOU
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 2
LIV
55%
21%
23%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
24%
22%
54%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 0
MAC
36%
25%
39%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 3
ROM
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
2 - 1
GEN
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 0
FCB
15%
22%
63%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |