Liverpool vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1996 |
LIV
4 - 2
NTT
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1995 |
CHL
2 - 2
LIV
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
LIV
3 - 1
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
BOL
0 - 1
LIV
21%
27%
53%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1996 |
WIG
2 - 0
ROC
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1995 |
LEY
2 - 0
ROC
26%
29%
44%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
EXE
2 - 0
ROC
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
DAR
0 - 1
ROC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
ROC
1 - 0
DON
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |