Liverpool vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
11%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
19%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
GIR
0 - 1
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LIV
1 - 1
BBU
58%
25%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 0
LIV
28%
27%
45%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
LIV
3 - 2
GAL
61%
24%
15%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
REA
0 - 4
ARS
20%
27%
54%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
REA
0 - 1
CHL
17%
26%
58%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
WHU
0 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
MUD
16%
23%
62%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
REA
3 - 3
DAR
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |