Liverpool vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
LEI
3 - 1
LIV
43%
28%
29%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
HUR
1 - 1
LIV
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
BOL
2 - 0
LIV
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 0
TOT
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 0
LEE
61%
23%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1925 |
NOT
0 - 1
BIR
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 1
HUR
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
NEW
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
SHE
2 - 0
NOT
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |