Liverpool vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
PNE
2 - 0
LIV
46%
24%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1910 |
SUN
2 - 1
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
LIV
2 - 0
TOT
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
LIV
0 - 0
SHE
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
BCF
1 - 2
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
NOT
2 - 2
NEW
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1910 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1910 |
MID
2 - 0
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
BBU
2 - 0
NOT
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
PNE
4 - 0
NOT
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |