Liverpool vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
LIV
3 - 0
SHW
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 1
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
LIV
1 - 0
SUN
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 4
LIV
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 3
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
BCF
0 - 0
NOT
63%
20%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |