Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
LIV
0 - 2
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
LIV
0 - 0
TOT
64%
20%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
TOT
31%
30%
39%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 1
NTT
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
BIR
2 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 0
BUR
29%
30%
41%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |