Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest analysis

Liverpool Nottingham Forest
82 ELO 79
10.9% Tilt -2.9%
General ELO ranking 78º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
72.3%
Liverpool
15.2%
Draw
12.5%
Nottingham Forest

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
Liverpool
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.5%
Win probability
Nottingham Forest
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Liverpool
+4%
+21%
Nottingham Forest

ELO progression

Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1908
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
68%
18%
14%
82 84 2 0
19 Dec. 1908
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
71%
16%
14%
81 80 1 +1
12 Dec. 1908
BCF
Bury
2 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
47%
23%
30%
82 77 5 -1
05 Dec. 1908
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 3
Liverpool
LIV
65%
19%
16%
81 84 3 +1
28 Nov. 1908
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 3
Manchester City
MAC
63%
19%
18%
82 81 1 -1

Matches

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 1908
BCF
Bury
3 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
54%
22%
24%
80 77 3 0
19 Dec. 1908
MID
Middlesbrough
4 - 0
Nottingham Forest
NTT
59%
21%
21%
80 80 0 0
12 Dec. 1908
NTT
Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
Preston North End
PNE
69%
18%
13%
80 79 1 0
05 Dec. 1908
BRI
Bristol City
2 - 1
Nottingham Forest
NTT
57%
21%
22%
80 81 1 0
28 Nov. 1908
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 4
Newcastle
NEW
46%
25%
29%
81 85 4 -1