Liverpool vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
LIV
2 - 2
SHW
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
LIV
31%
28%
41%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 0
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
LIV
1 - 1
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
FUL
0 - 1
NOR
29%
29%
42%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
NOR
3 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
NOR
6 - 1
MIL
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
OLD
1 - 3
NOR
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
NOR
3 - 0
BBU
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |