Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 3
LIV
16%
24%
60%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
4 - 4
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
CHL
4 - 4
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
4 - 0
BBU
71%
19%
11%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
LIV
1 - 3
CHL
48%
26%
26%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 0
OPA
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 0
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 2
CHL
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
NEW
1 - 3
ARS
22%
24%
54%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |