Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
TOT
2 - 1
LIV
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1967 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
LIV
0 - 0
MUD
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
BUR
1 - 0
LIV
50%
25%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 0
LEI
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1967 |
STO
0 - 1
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1967 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
BPO
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |