Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
WBA
3 - 0
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1952 |
LIV
4 - 1
MID
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1952 |
TOT
3 - 1
LIV
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 1
OPA
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1952 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1952 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAC
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1952 |
MUD
4 - 2
NEW
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1952 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
30%
25%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1952 |
SUN
0 - 2
NEW
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1952 |
NEW
4 - 3
PNE
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |