Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
0 - 6
SUN
57%
21%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
BUR
4 - 1
LIV
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
LIV
1 - 3
SHW
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
ARS
0 - 1
LIV
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEE
58%
20%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIV
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
ASV
2 - 0
NEW
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1930 |
BOL
1 - 1
NEW
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |