Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
HUR
2 - 4
LIV
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 2
LIV
63%
19%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 1
MID
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
SHW
4 - 0
LIV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
LIV
1 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1928 |
BIR
0 - 2
NEW
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 5
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
BUR
5 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 3
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |