Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
SHE
3 - 1
LIV
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
LIV
0 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
BBU
1 - 1
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
LIV
0 - 1
BCF
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1925 |
HUR
0 - 0
LIV
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 3
EVE
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 1
SHE
53%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
WBA
4 - 0
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1925 |
CAR
0 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |