Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIV
58%
23%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
LIV
0 - 2
CAR
60%
21%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
LIV
2 - 3
SHE
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
SHE
1 - 1
LIV
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
LIV
0 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1923 |
NEW
0 - 2
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1923 |
SUN
3 - 2
NEW
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
3 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |