Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
LIV
3 - 0
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
LIV
0 - 0
TOT
64%
20%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 4
LIV
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
CAR
3 - 0
LIV
45%
27%
27%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
TOT
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
TOT
0 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 2
NEW
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |