Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIV
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRA
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 3
ARS
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
DER
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 0
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
CHL
0 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
WBA
3 - 0
NEW
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1919 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |