Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
PNE
0 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
MUD
3 - 0
LIV
69%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
LIV
0 - 3
OLD
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
CHL
3 - 0
LIV
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 0
PNE
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
OLD
3 - 0
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |