Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
ASV
5 - 0
LIV
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
LIV
0 - 1
PNE
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 2
MUD
50%
24%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
TOT
2 - 0
LIV
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 0
NOT
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1911 |
NEW
2 - 3
MUD
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1911 |
TOT
1 - 2
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 2
NOT
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1911 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 2
BCF
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |