Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
BRI
1 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 0
SHW
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 1
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
LIV
1 - 1
MAC
74%
15%
12%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
NTT
2 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
NEW
3 - 2
HUL
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1911 |
NEW
0 - 1
MUD
58%
22%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 2
NEW
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1911 |
NOR
0 - 1
NEW
10%
19%
71%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOR
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |