Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 0
PNE
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
TOT
1 - 0
LIV
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 2
BCF
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
BRI
0 - 1
LIV
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
2 - 0
MID
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 3
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
PNE
4 - 0
NEW
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
NEW
1 - 0
TOT
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
BCF
1 - 2
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |