Liverpool vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
LIV
5 - 0
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
LIV
1 - 2
PNE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
LIV
6 - 0
NOT
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
BRI
2 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
NEW
2 - 1
EVE
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1907 |
ASV
3 - 3
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
NEW
8 - 0
BIR
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
BCF
1 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 0
BOL
67%
18%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |