Liverpool vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 1
LIV
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
LIV
0 - 0
DER
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
BPO
1 - 0
LIV
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
1 - 1
LIV
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
MID
5 - 0
BOL
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
WOL
0 - 3
MID
76%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1948 |
MAC
1 - 0
MID
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
MID
2 - 4
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
STO
3 - 0
MID
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |