Liverpool vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
HUR
1 - 2
LIV
44%
28%
29%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
LIV
4 - 1
HUR
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
BRA
0 - 0
LIV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1921 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1921 |
MID
0 - 0
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1921 |
NEW
2 - 0
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1921 |
MID
2 - 1
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1921 |
BRA
3 - 0
MID
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1921 |
WBA
0 - 1
MID
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |